Documented historical results
FOUR YEARS.
190 SETUPS.
48 months of documented pre-market setups, from November 2022 to October 2026. Entry at 7:00 AM ET, exit at the +2% target, the -2% stop or 9:29 AM. Every win, every loss and every flat outcome is here: 145 wins, 43 losses, 2 flat, a 76.3% win rate and +622.81% compounded across the full record.
76.3%
Documented win rate
190
Documented setups
145
Wins
43
Losses
+1.06%
Average per setup
+622.81%
Compounded, 4 years
2
Flat outcomes
48
Months covered
Win rate = documented winning setups ÷ all documented setups (145 of 190). Range: 2022-11-10 to 2026-10-26. Best outcome +2.00%, worst -2.00%. Figures follow the exit rule below and are not realized brokerage results.
| DATE | TICKER | 7:00 AM ENTRY | EXIT PRICE | RETURN | EXIT | TIME |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | AIOK | $11.10 | $10.88 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:16 |
| 2026-10-23 | STAK | $1.96 | $2.00 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:02 |
| 2026-10-14 | PFAI | $4.08 | $4.16 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-10-06 | SAIQ | $5.85 | $5.73 | -2.00% | STOP | 08:01 |
| 2026-09-29 | KOD | $87.01 | $88.75 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:48 |
| 2026-09-22 | GRML | $12.62 | $12.87 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-09-22 | GLND | $2.88 | $2.94 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:01 |
| 2026-09-17 | AEHL | $11.30 | $11.53 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-08-20 | ZSTK | $4.17 | $4.26 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:03 |
| 2026-08-20 | MRNA | $158.44 | $161.61 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:25 |
| 2026-08-14 | XHG | $3.29 | $3.36 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:03 |
| 2026-08-04 | RITR | $0.20 | $0.20 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:07 |
| 2026-08-03 | REPL | $11.41 | $11.18 | -2.00% | STOP | 09:29 |
| 2026-07-23 | PN | $7.72 | $7.87 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:07 |
| 2026-07-15 | NXTC | $5.43 | $5.32 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:02 |
| 2026-07-09 | VTAK | $1.10 | $1.12 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:04 |
| 2026-06-24 | ATLN | $1.19 | $1.17 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:31 |
| 2026-06-05 | STI | $47.30 | $46.35 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:00 |
| 2026-06-04 | XOS | $6.25 | $6.13 | -2.00% | STOP | 08:05 |
| 2026-06-03 | LASE | $3.12 | $3.18 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-05-18 | PIII | $8.60 | $8.77 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-05-15 | LESL | $3.54 | $3.61 | +2.00% | TARGET | 08:17 |
| 2026-05-14 | QUCY | $1.63 | $1.66 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-05-05 | SKK | $7.95 | $7.79 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:10 |
| 2026-04-24 | SKLZ | $8.82 | $9.00 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:05 |
| 2026-04-20 | EFOI | $5.74 | $5.85 | +2.00% | TARGET | 09:16 |
| 2026-04-02 | CYCN | $5.14 | $5.24 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:11 |
| 2026-04-02 | AGPU | $3.53 | $3.60 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-04-01 | APLS | $40.30 | $40.35 | +0.12% | TIME | 09:29 |
| 2026-03-20 | SER | $2.52 | $2.57 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-03-17 | ULY | $5.35 | $5.35 | 0.00% | TIME | 09:29 |
| 2026-03-04 | BATL | $20.02 | $19.62 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:28 |
| 2026-02-27 | ALBT | $0.76 | $0.77 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:11 |
| 2026-02-27 | AEHL | $0.96 | $0.94 | -2.00% | STOP | 08:00 |
| 2026-02-19 | RXT | $1.33 | $1.30 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:24 |
| 2026-02-11 | QNCX | $0.82 | $0.84 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:03 |
| 2026-01-30 | TCGL | $194.55 | $198.44 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:18 |
| 2026-01-29 | TIRX | $0.84 | $0.86 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:00 |
| 2026-01-15 | ROLR | $23.61 | $23.14 | -2.00% | STOP | 07:05 |
| 2026-01-13 | EVTV | $3.35 | $3.41 | +2.00% | TARGET | 07:02 |
Showing 40 of 190 documented setups.
Year by year
NOT EVERY YEAR WAS A WINNER
0 of the 5 calendar years in this sample closed negative on a compounded basis. They are shown in full.
| YEAR | SETUPS | WINS | LOSSES | WIN RATE | COMPOUNDED |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4% | +7.84% |
| 2023 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 68.8% | +36.23% |
| 2024 | 48 | 42 | 5 | 87.5% | +109.37% |
| 2025 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 83.0% | +86.03% |
| 2026 | 40 | 26 | 13 | 65.0% | +26.32% |
Calculation rules
ENTRY
Opening price of the one-minute SIP bar labeled 7:00 AM ET. It is a documented entry price, not proof of an actual fill.
EXIT
First one-minute bar touching the +2% profit target or the -2% stop, whichever comes first. Where a single bar touches both, the stop is assumed to hit first.
TIME EXIT
When neither threshold is met, the close of the last pre-open bar at or before 9:29 AM ET. With sparse prints, the last available trade can precede 9:29 AM.
DOCUMENTED RETURN
Documented exit divided by the 7:00 AM entry, minus one. Assumes fills exactly at target or stop and ignores slippage, spread, commissions, liquidity, market impact and gap-throughs.
Verification uses event/news sources and historical SIP price observations. These are documented setups, not prospectively classified Catalyst Alerts alerts or actual transactions, and historical selection may benefit from hindsight.
Documented win rates are not out-of-sample and can be materially overstated by idealized execution. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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